Evidence of other sex offenses.

As of this writing there are now 997 defendants in the Florida database so we can begin extracting some relevant numbers. First up we're going to look at just how many few defendants have displayed any evidence of offenses against children prior to be arrested in a sting. This includes being an RSO regardless of if the offense was against a child or not, having been arrested for a sex offense before regardless of conviction or what it was for and evidence of real victims or child pornography being discovered as a result of being arrested. For this we used news reports, court records, the Florida sex offender registry, the sex offender registries for other states when it was known the defendant was from out of state and reported spontaneous admissions. According to researchers with the University of New Hampshire those arrested in undercover sting operations are "somewhat different" than those arrested for victimizing actual youth (page 9). They also appeared to be different from other online molesters to a certain extent. Even so this report points out that nearly 40% of sting offenders possessed child pornography and 1 in 8 offenders had committed crimes against actual youth with the evidence being discovered as a result of the undercover investigation. It should be noted there is no mention of what percentage of offenders had both contact victims AND child pornography or were already registered offenders.

Using that information as a baseline we should expect to see just under 400 defendants that also possessed child pornography and 125 defendants displaying some evidence of contact offenses involving actual children. Admittedly a direct comparison is a little difficult because our total includes individuals that were already registered offenders and as pointed out the above study doesn't mention a figure for that. Even so we feel it's important to report our findings. Care to take a guess? Whatever number you guessed it's probably too high. We have identified 32 individuals with evidence of prior offenses, contact victims discovered as a result of the investigation or possessed child pornography. That's not a typo, it's really only 32. We even included an individual who wasn't an RSO but had a misdemeanor fine for "nudity in a park or beach" and another that was originally charged with possession of child pornography when he was arrested but had the charge immediately dropped by the State. 

Evidence of other sex offense




















32, or 3.2%, is 12 and a half times below the expected percentage for possession of child pornography alone! Things get even more interesting when we break our total down. Our total includes 11 individuals displaying some kind of evidence of child pornography. That's 1.1% versus the 39-40% reported by the study. Evidence of contact victims was discovered as a result of the investigation a total of 8 times. 8 times! That's less than one in one hundred instead of the 1 in 8 cited by the study. Even when we add in those offenders that were already registered or had had been previously charged for anything resembling a sex offense the total is only 21 or about 1 in 50 which is still nowhere near 1 in 8. If the average sting defendant is "somewhat different" than a contact offender then a Florida sting defendant must be radically different.

Conviction and Incarcerations Rates 

Many ICAC task forces boast a 100% (pages 4-5) or near 100% conviction to arrest rate. The United States Attorneys boast a 95% rate. (page 36) How does Florida stack up? While Florida does maintain a high conviction to arrest rate it isn't as high as others. For calculating the rates we have to make some adjustments which we're going to try and explain. The database currently has 704 cases listed as being disposed BUT that number includes deceased defendants, prior offenses, cases transferred to federal prosecution or elsewhere and a special disposition, "Testified". Testified is used when a defendant agrees to testify against another in return for having charges reduced or dropped completely. Once we account for all of those we are left with 675 disposed cases that were prosecuted by the State of Florida or the defendant was deported.